Guardians vs. Rays Prediction: Odds, Line & Insights for Sept. 12 (2024)

by Data Skrive

Sep 12, 2024 10:09 AM

Guardians vs. Rays Prediction: Odds, Line & Insights for Sept. 12 (1)

The Cleveland Guardians (84-62) will put their three-game win streak to the test when they host the Tampa Bay Rays (71-75) Thursday at 7:15 p.m. ET on FOX. Bookmakers consider the Guardians -150 favorites to extend their streak, while the Rays are +125 underdogs looking for the upset. Gavin Williams gets the starting nod for Cleveland while Ryan Pepiot is Tampa Bay's starter for the contest.

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Guardians vs. Rays Predictions

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Moneyline Odds & Pick

  • Favorite: Guardians
  • Favorite Moneyline: -150
  • Underdog Moneyline: +125
  • Moneyline Pick: Guardians
  • Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Rays 4

Moneyline Insights

  • Cleveland has won 54 of the 81 games it was the moneyline favorite this season (66.7%).
  • This season, Tampa Bay has been the underdog 70 times and won 30, or 42.9%, of those games.
  • In games they have played as moneyline favorites with odds of -150 or shorter, the Guardians have a 21-11 record (winning 65.6% of their games).
  • The Rays are 11-16 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +125 or more on the moneyline.
  • Cleveland has a 60% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.

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Total Odds & Pick

  • Total: 7.5
  • Over Total Odds: -115
  • Under Total Odds: -105
  • Over/Under Pick: Over 7.5

Total Insights

  • Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 66 of 146 opportunities.
  • Contests with Tampa Bay has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 66 of 146 chances this season.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents have failed to hit the over nine times.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on four occasions.

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How to Watch Guardians vs. Rays

  • Date: Thursday, September 12, 2024
  • Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
  • TV: FOX
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Venue: Progressive Field
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo

Guardians vs. Rays Probable Starting Pitchers

Guardians: Gavin Williams

  • Williams (3-8) will take to the mound for the Guardians and make his 14th start of the season.
  • The 25-year-old has pitched in 13 games this season with an ERA of 5.25, a 2.46 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.367.
  • The Guardians have been favored on the moneyline in six of Williams' starts this season, and they went 1-5 in those games.
  • Williams' team is 4-9 over his 13 starts.
  • Williams' starts with a set total this season have hit the over in two of 13 games.

Rays: Ryan Pepiot

  • The Rays will send Pepiot (8-6) to the mound for his 23rd start this season.
  • The 27-year-old has pitched in 22 games this season with an ERA of 3.66 and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .213.
  • His team has been victorious in 42.9% of the games he's started as the moneyline underdog with a record of 3-4.
  • Pepiot's team has won 12 of his 22 starts this season.
  • Out of Pepiot's 22 starts with a total this season, 10 have hit the over.

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Guardians vs. Rays Stats

Guardians Rays
4.5
Runs Scored (PG)
3.8
14
MLB Rank (RPG)
28
4
Runs Allowed (PG)
4.3
4
MLB Rank (RAPG)
12
.239
Batting AVG
.231
21
MLB Rank (BA)
27
.232
Batting AVG Against
.239
3
MLB Rank (BAA)
12
168
Home Runs
133
13
MLB Rank (HR)
27
171
Home Runs Allowed
188
20
MLB Rank (HRA)
27

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Guardians vs. Rays Prediction: Odds, Line & Insights for Sept. 12 (2024)
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